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The focus on the markets today is likely to be on the NFP data.
The focus on the markets today is likely to be on the NFP data.
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Indices ahead of NFP – oil holds high level, gold gains

Global equity markets are trading mostly higher on Friday ahead of the release of the US labor market data. Investors are focusing on the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), scheduled for 14:30 CET, as the report provides key insight into the strength of the US labor market and is closely watched as an indicator for potential interest rate decisions by the Federal Reserve.

In Asia, markets closed with solid gains. Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose by around 1.3%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng advanced 2.34%.

European markets are also starting the final trading day of the week on a positive note. Germany’s DAX is up around 0.9%, or roughly 210 points, shortly after the opening bell, while the Euro Stoxx 50 is trading about 0.8% higher. Futures on major US indices are also pointing to a slightly positive start ahead of the labor market data. A broader overview of the US indices shows markets currently holding near recent highs.

Oil prices remain elevated amid Middle East tensions

In commodity markets, oil prices remain near the elevated levels seen the previous day as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to intensify. Following reports of expanded attacks by Iran against neighboring countries in the region, concerns about potential disruptions to energy supplies have increased.

US crude oil (WTI) has been able to maintain its higher price level in response to the situation, with a technical resistance currently forming in the area between 80 and 81 USD. Brent crude is showing a similar structure, facing resistance around 84 to 85 USD.

WTI price still on a high level
Iran's intensified attacks in the region are driving oil prices to new highs. | Chart source: TradingView

Gold benefits from uncertainty – dollar stable

Gold is meanwhile benefiting from the heightened tensions around the Persian Gulf, rising by roughly 0.9% in early trading.

The US dollar remains relatively stable at the same time, while the EUR/USD exchange rate continues to fluctuate around the 1.16 level.

In the cryptocurrency market, trading has become calmer again following yesterday’s move after the escalation in the Gulf region. Bitcoin is slightly lower but continues to hold above the key 70,000 USD level.

Focus today on the Nonfarm Payrolls

Later in the day, market attention will shift primarily to the release of the US labor market report. The Nonfarm Payrolls are considered one of the most important economic indicators and could trigger notable movements across equity, currency, and commodity markets, depending on the outcome, as the data provide important signals regarding the Federal Reserve’s future monetary policy.

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